中信建投证券最新研报指出,本周美联储如期降息25BP,全球资产价格波动,黄金、美股调整后回升,AH股冲高回落。前期影响资产定价不确定因素陆续落地。美联储降息周期重启,此次降息为“风险管理式”降息,延续既往降息框架,后续降息路径或更为清晰,对经济增长提供有力支撑。本周中美经贸谈判也有新进展,为中美关系带来积极信号。后续市场交易主线或更为清晰。海外方面,关注AI产业叙事演绎。国内方面,出口稳健环境下,中国内外需有望共振筑底,叠加“反内卷”持续推进,中国资产围绕“走出通缩”进行定价。此外,“十五五”规划预期可能带来的增量也值得关注。

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